由 Jingyi 翻译,百度翻译助力。
中国方面:准备好迎接特朗普
1.嗨,这里是 Rebecca Choong,在香港,这是我见证红色浪潮席卷美国选举的地方,同时,我还很好奇,中国是否会引导特朗普的选举演讲路线,最后再入白宫。
2.毫无疑惑的,中国官方密切关注至关重要的猛犸象:特朗普可能重新点燃一场贸易战,这是使得世界第二大经济体失望。
devastate 使得…失望
3.他威胁要降低关税,向中国征收 60% 税,这可能解开大量毁灭交易,在两者之间,依据彭博经济。瑞银说到,用那样的利率征税,会更多地减少每年增长率。
slap tariffs 征收关税
decimating trade 大量毁灭交易
levy 征收
halve 减半
4.然而,中国比之前都准备得更加好,来处理无论下一个阶段特朗普任职期间会采取什么行动。看我们的报道吧!
5.对于初学者而言,美国人的力量主导了中国人的技术抱负在一些方面已经非常短缺了,在某些核心领域保持领先地位。
6.还有,中国现在是没有争议的世界领袖,在新能源汽车领域。比亚迪正在研究 Tesla 的过去版本,季度收入上对标他们。中国汽车制造商出售了巨大汽车产量,载量多达 50 万人,今年 10 月,是卖得最好的一个月。
whopping 巨大的
7.中国也进入到按出厂地囤积轮胎的时候,主要是这几年来节省出来的,相当于购买了保险,以应对美国可能挑起的贸易战。这解释了以下震惊的现象,中国和印度的军队在边境线上交换简餐,他们之前在那还有小的冲突。
8.当然,中国是能回应以强硬手段征收关税问题。(中国的从容以对使其能够)将目标放置于美国的农业出口,或者美国出台新的、关于原材料方面的出口限制,因为美国需要某些原材料以满足其战略技术的需求。中国现在也有正式了流程,来裁决国外的公司。
tariffs with hardball of its own 以强硬手段征税
9.中国国家主席,某种程度上,似乎也希望避免不打贸易战。中国就会实质上仍然与贸易上的困难搏斗,上述情况,会被以下事件夸大,即不稳定资产市场突然跳水,以及通缩压力。就像特朗普总结他的胜利一样,中国正在告诫其盟国,每年的经济目标要完成。
grapple with 扭打
lingering property market 不稳定资产市场
wrapping up his win 总结他的胜利
exhorting 告诫
underlings 下属
10.事实上,中国政策制定者本周正在搜集资讯,投资人密切关注任何信号,这些信号显示,他们所创造的刺激正在到来。2023 年类似的秘密会议,签署了一项决定,提升补赤字的预算。
conclave 秘密会议
signed off on a decision 签署决定
11.正在如火如荼的 EV 行业,不仅仅使得美国很愤怒,而且现在欧盟也聚集起自己的关税壁垒。
12.中国官方宣称很少关于美国大选,尽管 美国国家媒体认为这是浪费钱,因为局势混乱。幕后情况,中国官方很可能能决定,如何反击,在特朗普开启首次攻击之后。
blasted 该死的
behind the scene 幕后情况
Next China: Ready for Trump
1.Hi, this is Rebecca Choong Wilkins in Hong Kong, where I watched that red wave sweep across the US electoral map while wondering what Beijing is making of Donald Trump moving into the White House again soon.
2.There’s no doubt Chinese officials were closely watching given the stakes are mammoth: Trump’s return may reignite a trade war that could devastate the world’s second-largest economy.
3.His threat to slap tariffs of as much as 60% on Chinese goods could wind up decimating trade between the two, according to Bloomberg Economics. UBS has said levies at that rate would more than halve China’s annual growth rate.
4.Still, Beijing should be better prepared than in the past to deal with whatever the next Trump term throws at it. Read our story about how China may respond here.
5.For starters, US efforts to rein in China’s tech ambitions have fallen short in some respects, leaving it in the lead in certain core areas.
6.Also, China is now the undisputed world leader in electric vehicles. BYD just zoomed past Tesla in terms of quarterly revenue (take that Elon). And the Chinese automaker sold a whopping 500,000 passenger cars in October, its best month ever.
7.Beijing has also moved to shore up ties with nations it has sparred with in recent years, buying some insurance against any rise in tensions with the US. That explains the surprising sight of Chinese and Indian troops swapping snacks along a border they fought over not long ago.
8.Of course, Beijing could respond to tariffs with hardball of its own. It could target US agricultural exports or roll out export curbs on raw materials the US needs for its strategic technologies. It also now has a formal process for sanctioning foreign firms.
9.Xi would certainly love to avoid the distraction of another trade war. He’s grappling with economic difficulties at home that are exacerbated by a lingering property market slump and deflationary pressures. Just as Trump was wrapping up his win, Xi was exhorting his underlings to meet their annual economic targets.
10.In fact, Chinese lawmakers are gathering this week for an event that investors are closely watching for any signs that the stimulus they crave is coming. A similar conclave in 2023 signed off on a decision to raise the budget deficit.
11.And that roaring EV industry has not only angered the US, but now the European Union has piled on with tariffs of its own.
12.China has officially said very little about the US election, though state media blasted it as a money-wasting exercise in chaos. Behind the scenes, Chinese officials are very likely deciding how to counterpunch if and when Trump throws his first jab.
Preparing for Trump? Here’s what to read, watch and listen to:
1.Start by hearing from Trump himself. Read our interview. Watch an in-depth conversation here.
2.If the US wants to stall China’s technological rise, it will need to do even more. Read our story on how
3.American sanctions have so far mostly failed. Listen to the podcast here.
4.What impact could more tariffs have? Read what Goldman Sachs thinks China might do and what it might mean for US businesses. Listen to our podcast here on why Trump has such an affinity for tariffs.
5.Will this make US-China tensions better or worse? Read why China would have preferred Kamala Harris. And a look at the potential impact Elon Musk might have.
6.Finally, brush up on all the major issues that exist between the world’s biggest economies. Here’s an explainer for Taiwan, one for the Quad, a look at the competition over semiconductors, one on Huawei, another on the new space race and of course on Tiktok.
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